The potential impact of AI on human civilization is hard to overstate — never before has humanity faced a rival in intellect. But, how specifically will AI affect global agriculture? Technology’s “Law of Amplification” offers a few predictions, at least to the extent that global economic systems continue largely as they currently are: AI will make agriculture for well-resourced entities more efficient, but it will have little direct impact on low-income smallholder farming, where severe financial, physical, and absorptive constraints are the bottleneck. Implications for policy will be considered.